Investing in currency can be a significant risk. But understanding the history and current events of a country can be beneficial in helping mitigate those risks. Below are reasons you should consider learning more about a country before investing in its currency.
A country’s history and current events affect its economic health
A currency’s value is based on that country’s economic health. It is also influenced by its historical trends and its relation to other countries’ currencies.
To understand a country’s current economic health, consider the following:
i) Are there any indications that the people are disenfranchised? (for example, failing public schools and prisons)
ii) How does the unemployment rate compare with other countries? (For example, the United States has an overall unemployment rate of 5)
iii) What are the state of the country’s domestic supply and demand? (for example, if the government is experiencing a drought, then its supply of agricultural products may decline)
iv) What is the state of foreign demand for their products? (for example, what is the export market looking like?)
v) Is there any indication that any of these issues may change in the future?
Helps you better assess the risk of owning foreign stocks
Understanding a country’s history and current events can help you better assess the risk of owning foreign stocks. This is especially true if you are invested in countries known to have had financial distress or industries experiencing significant declines. If this is the case, they may be at high risk of being impacted by economic downturns. For example, how and where to buy Iraqi dinar is extremely important if you are watching Iraqi dinar daily.
Helps you to assess a country’s currency risk better
Understanding a country’s history and current events makes it easier to assess currency risks. For example, if a country is in the midst of two major wars, its risk of financial distress is likely to increase.
A country’s history and current events also affect how much of its reserves it can use to help them deal with crises, its ability to deal with food shortages, or energy price spikes, and what type of economic policies it may follow.
You can make more informed investment decisions
Knowing a country’s history and current events can help you choose the best investments for your portfolio. For example, if a country has accumulated large debt over time, its risk is likely high.
When making investment decisions, knowing a country’s current issues can also help you prevent being purchased into mutual funds or ETFs associated with countries experiencing financial distress. This is especially true if the fund is associated with countries that have recently experienced financial difficulties; their industries have declined for prolonged periods, or they are associated with commodities that are more likely to experience a downturn in price.
Helps prevent you from being exposed to high-risk investments
Understanding the history and current events can help prevent you from being exposed to high-risk investments. For example, if a country is experiencing political unrest, its risk may increase.
High-risk investments include investments in countries experiencing political unrest, being in the midst of a war, or being economically unstable. A good example is Brazil, where the government is experiencing political turmoil. By investing in stocks of companies within the Brazilian industry, you are exposing yourself to high risk.
Understanding a country’s history and current events can also help you identify opportunities when buying foreign stocks. For example, China is experiencing a downturn in its manufacturing industry, creating an opportunity for those looking to buy Chinese stocks.
Helps you avoid investing in a country with a failed economy
Understanding a country’s history and current events can help you determine whether it has been in financial distress in the past. By time-tested evidence, many countries have been in financial distress at some point or another. According to world population review, several failed economies have emerged in the world due to different situations in the country.
Understanding a country’s history and current events will help prevent making mistakes that can cost you money. It will also help you make more informed decisions positively affecting your portfolio returns.